US strikes Iran for the seventh night amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 28.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.5% YES, regime fall by 2026 at 10.

US strikes hit Iranian military targets near the Strait of Hormuz. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12 at 96.4% YES, July 13 at 8.4% YES, July 14 at 9.

US airstrikes on Iran continue for the fifth day as Trump vows to escalate actions. Invasion before 2027 now at 22.5% YES.