Polymarket odds on the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 rebounded to 45% on July 17, days after crashing to a record 24% low amid a Senate ethics fight.

Senate to vote on the CLARITY Act before August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 35.5% YES.

The CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15-9, but Trump's $1.4B crypto income is complicating bipartisan ethics negotiations ahead of midterms.