Polymarket odds on the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 rebounded to 45% on July 17, days after crashing to a record 24% low amid a Senate ethics fight.

A new draft of the Clarity Act is expected soon amid ongoing negotiations. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 36.5% YES.

Polymarket odds for the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 have dropped from over 70% to between 24-48%, even as Trump lobbies senators ahead of the August recess