US forces disabled an oil tanker breaching the Iran blockade. End of blockade by August 31, 2026 at 44% YES.

Iran exported 57 million barrels during a ceasefire. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

The major cash windfall and emptying of some of Iran’s oil storage will help restart the clock for how long Tehran can hold out.

The United States on early Thursday (local time Wednesday) disabled an oil tanker attempting to reach an Iranian port, marking the first commercial vessel targeted since…