$9,731 has traded on "Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by J..." as of May 31, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Oman pledges no tolls on the Strait of Hormuz after Trump's threat. 20 ships transit the Strait by May 31 at 17.5% YES.

Global oil prices have retreated sharply amid hopes that a lasting Middle East ceasefire can unlock the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices fell as hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz rise. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES.

Iran controls Strait of Hormuz traffic, affecting oil trade. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES; 20 ships transiting by May 31 at 13.5% YES.

Iran nears a deal with the US to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalizes by July 31 at 64% YES.

Strait of Hormuz traffic unlikely to normalize by June 15, with market confidence at 8.5% YES.

Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply. Normal traffic by June 15 at 7.5% YES; new all-time high for crude by September 30 at 21%

US enforces a blockade in the Gulf of Oman, disabling a vessel. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 11% YES.

$9,731 has traded on "Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by J..." as of May 31, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

US missile strike disables ship in Gulf of Oman. Transit of 20 ships through Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 10% YES.

Iran plans to block the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. Traffic normal by July 31 at 44.5% YES.

$12,782,341 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to no..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

$2,443,200 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to nor..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...