US enforces a blockade in the Gulf of Oman, disabling a vessel. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 11% YES.

Trump threatens military action against Oman over the Strait of Hormuz. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 62.5% YES.

US deploys over 20 warships to enforce a blockade against Iran. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 12.5% YES.

Iran advances control over the Strait of Hormuz. Normal traffic by June 15 at 7.5% YES.