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Strait of Hormuz disruption risks global energy supply shock amid tensions
Strait of Hormuz traffic unlikely to normalize by June 15, with market confidence at 8.5% YES.
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Timeline cronologica
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Oil drops to $89 as Iran peace deal may reopen Strait of Hormuz in 1 month
Oil drops to $89 as Iran's peace deal may reopen the Strait of Hormuz. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at 23% YES.
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Trump threatens military action against Oman over Strait of Hormuz
Trump threatens military action against Oman over the Strait of Hormuz. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 62.5% YES.
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IRGC Navy halts US oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
IRGC Navy halts US oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. Traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.
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US sanctions Iran's Strait of Hormuz authority amid rising tensions
US sanctions Iran's Strait of Hormuz authority amid rising tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 57.5% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz reopening may lead to rapid drop in oil prices
Strait of Hormuz reopening may lower oil prices. New all-time high for crude by September 30 at 22% YES.
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Strikes on US ships in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran war crisis
Strikes on US ships in the Strait of Hormuz raise tensions. Traffic normalizing by end of May at 0.5% YES.
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Iran missile attack on US ships escalates Strait of Hormuz tensions
Iran's missile attack on U.S. ships escalates tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.
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Oil prices fall as Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes rise
Oil prices fell as hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz rise. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES.
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Iran manages Strait of Hormuz traffic, impacting global oil trade
Iran controls Strait of Hormuz traffic, affecting oil trade. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES; 20 ships transiting by May 31 at 13.5% YES.
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Oil prices could hit $160 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions
Oil prices could rise to $160 per barrel due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions. New all-time high by September 30 at 23.5% YES.
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Trump claims Iran agrees to nuclear disarmament, Hormuz reopening unconfirmed
Trump claims Iran agreed to nuclear disarmament and reopening of Hormuz, but market skepticism remains; Hormuz traffic normalization by June 15 at 14.5% YES.
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Iran, US near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz amid maritime tensions
Iran nears a deal with the US to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalizes by July 31 at 64% YES.
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US-Iran deal could ease energy prices, reopen Strait of Hormuz
US-Iran deal could ease energy prices and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trump agrees to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30 at 66% YES.
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CENTCOM warns of military operations near Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
CENTCOM warns of potential military operations near the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by end of June at 43.5% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz disruption risks global energy supply shock amid tensions
Strait of Hormuz traffic unlikely to normalize by June 15, with market confidence at 8.5% YES.
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Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, impacting global oil supply
Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply. Normal traffic by June 15 at 7.5% YES; new all-time high for crude by September 30 at 21%