Putin accuses Ukraine of an intentional strike, lowering ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 18% YES.

Russia delivered nuclear warheads to Belarus, escalating NATO tensions. Ukraine peace deal by June 30 at 6.2% YES.

Putin accuses Ukraine of an intentional strike, lowering ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 18% YES.

EU's Kallas condemns Russia's missile strike, raising NATO-Russia clash fears. Clash by June 30, 2026 at 4% YES.