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Putin accuses Ukraine of intentional strike, ceasefire odds decrease
Putin accuses Ukraine of an intentional strike, lowering ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 18% YES.
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Russia delivers nuclear warheads to Belarus, escalating NATO tensions
Russia delivered nuclear warheads to Belarus, escalating NATO tensions. Ukraine peace deal by June 30 at 6.2% YES.
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Putin accuses Ukraine of intentional strike, ceasefire odds decrease
Putin accuses Ukraine of an intentional strike, lowering ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 18% YES.
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EU's Kallas condemns Russian missile strike, raising NATO-Russia clash fears
EU's Kallas condemns Russia's missile strike, raising NATO-Russia clash fears. Clash by June 30, 2026 at 4% YES.