Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.

CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.

Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.

Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.

Iran rejects the transfer of enriched uranium, citing distrust of the US. US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 at 5.5% YES.

Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.

US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.

US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.