Japan’s central bank just did something it hasn’t done in over three decades. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 1% on June 16, 2026, pushing borrowing costs to their highest level since September 1995.

Governor Kazuo Ueda isn’t stopping there. He’s warning that inflation risks could push prices beyond the BOJ’s 2% stability target, meaning further rate hikes are very much on the table.

The end of ultra-loose monetary policy

Ueda flagged the need for discussions on additional rate increases on June 3, 2026, citing persistent inflationary pressures. His deputy, Ryozo Himino, echoed those concerns, pointing specifically to rising energy costs and geopolitical instability in the Middle East as key drivers.

The data backs them up. A new BOJ inflation measure showed core inflation hitting 2.8% in April 2026. That’s well above the bank’s 2% target, which was originally established back in January 2013.