We're building Onside Arena — an open AI football analytics platform for the FIFA World Cup 2026 and...
We're building Onside Arena — an open AI football analytics platform for the FIFA World Cup 2026 and FPL. Live model record: 75% of MD1 winners called correctly. Here's the technical core.
TL;DR
Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson on team goal expectations
Bayesian-shrunk ratings learned from 12 past World Cups + 8 Premier League seasons (~32K matches)
Live recalibration after every played match in the tournament
Breaking down the expected goal contribution model that is powering our World Cup predictions this summer
I ran a live World Cup prediction scoreboard across 12 models. The early leaderboard is tied, but the misses are more interesting…
There are 48 teams, 104 matches and infinite possibilities at the World Cup. We crunched the numbers to find every team’s…
A deep dive into BCA Research's data‑driven World Cup 2026 model, blending football chaos with macro‑style forecasting to predict…
Let’s be honest: there is nothing quite like the feeling of moving a machine learning model off a...
Spoiler: It doesn't end well for Team Register
