https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-warns-whole-civilization-die-tonight-iranian-official-urges-human-chains-around-power-plants
Market Snapshot
The “Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?” market is currently priced at 19.5% YES, a rise from 12% in the last 24 hours. The “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?” market shows 98.6% YES, holding steady. The “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” market is priced at 5.5% YES, down from 6%.
Key Takeaways
Market pricing suggests Trump’s statement on potential strikes is consistent with decreasing likelihood of a ceasefire announcement.
