This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility to serve through 2030, with the option to seek another term extending to 2036, underpins trader expectations that he will remain president past December 2026. Recent public appearances at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in early June 2026 and sidestepping questions on long-term plans by citing legal options and health considerations reinforce continuity rather than transition. No scheduled elections, leadership transitions, or institutional challenges have emerged, while domestic elite networks and security structures show no signs of coordinated opposition. Although economic pressures from military spending have prompted internal warnings, these have not translated into visible power shifts. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen elite realignments remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% probability for “No.”This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETVolume$6,928,324End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedJul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
