This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin’s firm institutional control and active public role as Russia’s president underpin the near-certain trader consensus that he will remain in office through June 30. Recent appearances at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and bilateral meetings with foreign leaders in early June 2026, alongside constitutional eligibility for further terms, show no signs of transition or challenge. Elite networks, security services, and legislative structures continue to align with the incumbent, with no verified developments indicating removal, resignation, or incapacitation in the brief window ahead. While sudden health events or internal elite shifts remain theoretically possible in any leadership context, the short timeline and absence of preceding indicators make such outcomes highly improbable under current conditions.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
