## Market Snapshot
The “Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31” market is currently priced at 32% YES, up from 24% a day ago. The “Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30” market shows 8.9% YES, a significant increase from 3% over the same period.
## Key Takeaways
– The report of Pezeshkian’s resignation appears to support an increased likelihood of his departure before December 31. – Market activity suggests participants view the resignation as a key indicator of elevated internal conflict within Iran’s leadership. – Pezeshkian’s potential departure could indicate a shift in power dynamics, favoring the IRGC and hard-line factions.
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