This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un remains firmly entrenched as North Korea’s supreme leader, with recent institutional actions reinforcing his position. In February and March 2026, the ruling Workers’ Party and Supreme People’s Assembly reappointed him general secretary and president of the State Affairs Commission for additional terms, while he outlined expanded nuclear deterrence and a new five-year economic plan. South Korean intelligence assessments point to his daughter Kim Ju Ae receiving elevated public roles as part of long-term succession planning, yet she remains a teenager with no near-term transition underway. No credible reports indicate health crises, internal challenges, or elite defections that could prompt removal by year-end. These developments sustain trader consensus around the low likelihood of abrupt leadership change within the resolution window.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
