Either path leaves the global economy worse off than before the war, with slower growth and hotter inflation.
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The Iran war has divided the global outlook into two tracks:
Why it matters: Either path leaves the global economy worse off than before the war, with slower growth and hotter inflation. The scenarios determine the scale of the damage.
The global economic outlook hinges on how long the war in the Middle East lasts, with recession in some countries and sharply…
The OECD has cut its global growth outlook, warning of lasting damage caused by the Middle East conflict.
One of macroeconomics’ worst-case scenarios could be coming for the global economy, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Many countries would risk falling into recession if the war continues into 2027. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at…
Jayati Ghosh argues that today’s market optimism masks a slow-moving crisis that will hit poorer countries hardest.
With oil prices soaring and stock markets falling, economists warn that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East risks knocking…
OECD cuts 2026 global growth forecasts over Iran war fallout
