## Market Snapshot

In the Fed Decision June and July market, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut after the June 2026 meeting is currently priced at 1.2% YES. The probability for July 2026 is slightly higher at 3% YES. These figures indicate no significant change in expectations following Paulson’s comments.

## Key Takeaways

– Paulson’s statement suggests no immediate rate changes, aligning with the Fed’s existing policy stance. – The market for a June rate cut remains low, consistent with a steady policy outlook. – Expectations for the Fed’s June decision reflect a high likelihood of maintaining current rates.

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