Fed expected to hold rates-3.7% in June: Reuters poll

Market Snapshot

Fed Decisions (Mar–Jun) market is currently priced at 99.2% YES for a Pause-Pause-Pause outcome. The Fed Decision June and July market shows a low probability for a rate cut, with a 0.5% YES for a 25 bps decrease after June.

Key Takeaways

The Reuters poll suggests the Fed will maintain interest rates at 3.50%-3.75% during the June meeting, indicating a stable monetary policy environment.

Market pricing appears to align with a Pause-Pause-Pause scenario in the Fed Decisions (Mar–Jun) market, suggesting high confidence in continued rate stability.