## Market Snapshot
The “Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?” market is currently priced at 58.5% YES, up from 45% in the past 24 hours. The “Israel strikes 4 countries in 2026?” market is priced at 43.6% YES, down from 47% a day ago.
## Key Takeaways
– Netanyahu’s directive to seize 70% of Gaza appears to increase political instability, suggesting a higher likelihood of Israeli parliament dissolution. – Markets suggest a moderate impact on the probability of Israeli strikes in multiple countries in 2026, with a slight decrease in YES pricing. – The Gaza flotilla market remains largely unaffected, consistent with no new developments impacting the flotilla’s entry into Israeli waters.
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