## Market Snapshot

Israeli Parliament Dissolution market is priced at 46.5% YES for a dissolution by June 30, down from 48% 24 hours ago. The Netanyahu Out market sees a 60.0% YES probability for his potential ouster by the end of 2026.

## Key Takeaways

– The advancement of the dissolution bill appears to indicate significant movement towards early elections, impacting the likelihood of the Knesset dissolving by June 30. – Market activity suggests a slight increase in the probability of Netanyahu’s ouster by the end of 2026, consistent with the political instability reflected in the bill’s progression. – The Israel-Indonesia normalization market remains unaffected by this domestic political development, as expected.

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