## Market Snapshot

Israeli parliament dissolution market is priced at 50.5% YES, reflecting a slight increase from 48% in the last 24 hours. The Netanyahu ouster market shows 60% YES by the end of 2026, up from 59% a day ago.

## Key Takeaways

– The significant international legal scrutiny appears to increase the likelihood of political instability in Israel, consistent with a YES outcome in the parliament dissolution market. – ICC arrest warrants for Prime Minister Netanyahu suggest a potential increase in political pressure, supportive of a YES outcome in the Netanyahu ouster market. – Despite the legal focus, the market for Iranian military action against neighbors remains unaffected, indicating it as unrelated to current developments.

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