This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level engagement includes a May 2026 visit to Havana by CIA Director John Ratcliffe and other U.S. officials, who met Cuban counterparts including intelligence and interior ministry leaders to discuss security cooperation, economic stability, and migration. These talks occurred against a backdrop of renewed U.S. sanctions on Cuban military-linked entities, an oil blockade contributing to acute energy shortages on the island, and the May indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro. Cuban officials have signaled openness to unconditional dialogue on bilateral issues, while U.S. statements express skepticism about reaching agreement with the current government. Ongoing congressional scrutiny and regional policy shifts continue to shape prospects for additional formal meetings.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETVolume$13,573End DateJun 30, 2026Market OpenedMay 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
