NEWDec 31, 2026PolymarketSouth Sudan$202 Vol.75%Rwanda$131 Vol.74%Burundi$151 Vol.57%United States$3,478 Vol.40%Canada$449 Vol.34%Kenya$100 Vol.54%India$125 Vol.45%Republic of the Congo$742 Vol.43%Nigeria$0 Vol.42%Ethiopia$0 Vol.44%Somalia$0 Vol.39%China$309 Vol.36%$7,642 Vol.PolymarketSouth Sudan$202 Vol.75%Rwanda$131 Vol.74%Burundi$151 Vol.57%United States$3,478 Vol.40%Canada$449 Vol.34%Kenya$100 Vol.54%India$125 Vol.45%Republic of the Congo$742 Vol.43%Nigeria$0 Vol.42%Ethiopia$0 Vol.44%Somalia$0 Vol.39%China$309 Vol.36%This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), declared a public health emergency of international concern by the World Health Organization on May 17, 2026, drives trader focus on countries with confirmed or imported cases. As of May 26, DRC reports 105 confirmed cases and 10 confirmed deaths across Ituri, Nord-Kivu, and Sud-Kivu provinces, alongside 906 suspected cases, while Uganda has seven confirmed cases and one death linked to travel from DRC. Official surveillance by DRC and Ugandan health ministries, supported by CDC and WHO, emphasizes cross-border movement, insecurity, and population displacement as transmission risks. Containment measures, including enhanced screening and rapid response teams, continue amid the 17th DRC outbreak since 1976, with new case reports or negative findings in additional nations potentially shifting market-implied odds on 2026 geographic spread.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETVolume$7,642End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedMay 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
