This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of an Ebola virus disease outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo's Ituri province, with 13 laboratory-verified cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths, has triggered immediate regional coordination by the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention. Authorities report a single imported case in Uganda but note transmission remains localized in remote health zones, supported by rapid diagnostic confirmation and established containment protocols. Historical patterns from prior DRC outbreaks show most remain geographically contained when detected early, with official surveillance data indicating limited spread under current conditions. Ongoing monitoring through June focuses on case trends and cross-border controls, aligning with trader consensus that escalation to broader emergency thresholds appears unlikely.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
