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With floods of placards demanding stronger efforts to solve climate woes from communities, corporations rushed to deploy green power projects. Now, investors are focusing on commercial viability.

Southeast Asia could get up to $540-billion boost for green power deployments until 2030, but the region may lose nearly half of the planned investments as climate goals become less of a deciding factor. This is according to “Southeast Asia’s Green Economy Report 2026: The New Calculus”, a report published by Bain & Company and Standard Chartered.

Of the green capital expenditures (capex) projected across the region, only about $315 billion could materialize “under current conditions.”

“The transition is sorting leaders and laggards in ways that climate ambition alone can no longer bridge. Capital is flowing where commercial demand, energy security and policy that delivers infrastructure come together, and stalling where any of the three is missing, even where targets remain ambitious. That is the new calculus,” says Dale Hardcastle, partner at Bain & Company.