"Value" was the buzzword du jour for restaurant executives that lasted all year — and it will likely stick around in 2026, too.
Over the last year and a half, diners, particularly those who make less than $40,000 a year, have been eating out less frequently and spending less money when they do. Higher costs, like rent and child care, have put pressure on consumers' wallets. Plus, uncertainty about the economy, President Donald Trump's higher tariffs, layoff fears and immigration crackdowns have all hurt their willingness to spend.
As diners strain under pressures on their wallets, restaurants, takeout and food delivery is the category where discretionary spending is most likely to fall, according to the EY-Parthenon U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey. Nearly a quarter of respondents said that they would first cut spending on eating out, ahead of entertainment, travel and home maintenance.
It's no surprise, then, that data from Black Box Intelligence shows that traffic to restaurants open at least a year fell every month this year through November, with one exception: July. That month, guest count ticked up 0.1%.
To win back a shrinking pool of diners, restaurants have responded by doubling down on efforts to offer diners more "value." In the fast-food segment, that means combo meals and value menus.
