Benchmarks disagree on GPT-6 Astra, but its human-beating efficiency on ARC-AGI-3 pulls Chollet’s AGI forecast forward

OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra is drawing contradictory benchmark verdicts. Epoch AI puts it out in front with 169 points, while Artificial Analysis rates it no better than its predecessor and behind Claude Fable 5.1. The biggest surprise comes from ARC-AGI-3, where Astra works more efficiently than the average human for the first time. ARC Prize chief François Chollet doesn't call this proof of AGI, but he does see the progress running "twice as fast" as he expected, and he's moving up his AGI forecast.

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