Barkin highlights a weak balance in the US job market, impacting rate hike expectations. Rate hike by September 2026 at 36% YES.

Musalem highlights a strong US labor market, indicating potential rate hikes. Rate hike by September 2026 at 47.5% YES, by October 2026 at 57.5% YES.

Labor market data may reduce Fed rate hike expectations. Pause in next three decisions at 49.5% YES.