Treasury yields rise as Fed officials support a rate hike. Rate hike by September 2026 at 53.5% YES, by October 2026 at 60.5% YES, in 2026 at 66.5% YES.

Fed meeting shows a one-in-three chance of a rate hike. Rate hike by September 2026 at 68.5% YES, by October 2026 at 73.5% YES, but only 20.6% for July 2026.

Markets lean toward a September Fed rate hike as rising Treasury yields, policymaker dissents and firm energy prices signal a more hawkish policy path.

As oil prices surged, treasury yields took notice, raising inflation worries in the market. Traders are keeping a watchful eye on the Federal Reserve's expected decision to…