On the ground, the Iranian regime has begun executing its threats to expand the conflict by igniting two new border fronts. The first is in the southern Red Sea, threatening to close the Bab Al-Mandab Strait via the Houthis. The second is in the northern Arabian Gulf, through direct and unprecedented threats aimed at Kuwait. The gravity of this shift is not confined to Kuwait or the Red Sea; it extends to the entire regional security architecture.

Iran targeted US radar and air defence installations in the Gulf on Tuesday, warning Washington of "more decisive and powerful" attacks to come as the conflict threatened to widen…

Iran said it targeted U.S. radar and air defense installations in Bahrain and Kuwait on July 21, warning of stronger attacks as Yemen’s Houthi rebels threatened to block Saudi…

Iran and Houthis attacked oil tankers, raising tensions. Bab al-Mandeb Strait closure by September 30 at 28% YES.