US positions refueling aircraft for potential strikes on Iran. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 44% YES.

Iran threatens to block oil exports and target US military in Bahrain. US ends Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 48.5% YES.

US military strikes on Iran increase escalation risks. US-Iran deal in 2026 with reconstruction funding at 24.5% YES, uranium cap at 25.5% YES.

US strikes Bandar Abbas rail junction in Iran. IAEA visit to nuclear sites by July 31 at 1.1% YES.