June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the first decline since 2020, sparking a US bond rally as traders unwind rate hike bets and reprice Fed expectations.

This morning's report could go a long way toward determining whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its late-July meeting.

June 2026 CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, beating the 3.8% consensus forecast and dropping from May's 4.2% reading, easing pressure on the Fed and boosting

...led by a huge drop in energy costs.