Iran attacks Bahrain and Gulf allies after US airstrikes. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran attacks the US base in Jufair, escalating tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 13 at 83.5% YES.

Iran launches drone and missile attacks on U.S. Navy in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state by July 13 at 90% YES.

Iranian strikes hit Bahrain and Kuwait as the US escalates airstrikes on Iran amid rising tensions over the Strait of Hormuz.