US sanctions IRGC network amid tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES.

US and Iran exchange strikes over the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran attacks supertankers in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19.5% YES.

Iran expands control over the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Strait traffic normal by August 31 at 13.5% YES.

US reimposes blockade on Iranian ports amid ongoing conflict. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

US launches airstrikes and blockades against Iran amid tensions. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

US-Iran conflict escalates after a tanker attack in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran leaders amid rising tensions. Pezeshkian out by December 31 at 18.5% YES.

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran, straining recent MoU. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.7% YES.

US reinstated a naval blockade on Iranian ports, escalating tensions. Fewer than 150 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz at 98.4% YES.

US-Iran conflict escalates, disrupting Strait of Hormuz shipping. Traffic normalizing by August 31 at 11.5% YES.

US sanctions Iran's IRGC weapons network amid tensions. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES.

US sanctions IRGC network amid tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES.

Those targeted allegedly used aviation and logistics companies in Iran, Italy, and Russia to source arms and drone components in violation of renewed UN restrictions.