Ukraine targets Russian oil infrastructure in a 40-day campaign. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026, at 21.5% YES.

One of the targets includes a tanker ferrying Russian oil already sanctioned by Australia, Britain, Canada, the EU, and Ukraine.

Ukraine escalates drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.