Pentagon launches second wave of strikes as Iran defies blockade. End of blockade by August 31, 2026 at 43.5% YES.

US resumes military strikes on Iran amid tensions. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.8% YES.

US escalates strikes on Iran after ceasefire collapse. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES; US strikes on 8 countries in 2026 at 35.2% YES.