Iran threatens more trade route blockades after US airstrikes. US ends Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 46.5% YES.

US and Iran exchange strikes over the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran blocks US intervention in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19% YES.

US reimposes blockade, shattering Iran MoU. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.7% YES.