US strikes Iranian coastal defenses at Chabahar port. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

US military strikes IRGC targets near Strait of Hormuz. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12 at 93.2% YES.

US military strikes Iranian targets to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12 at 92.3% YES.