China's GDP grew just 0.9% QoQ in Q2 2026, the weakest quarterly pace since Q2 2024, missing targets and raising stimulus expectations.

China's GDP growth is projected to slow to 4.5% in Q2 2026, with a 79% chance it will be between 4.0% and 5.0% for the year.

China's Q2 2026 GDP growth missed expectations, putting its 5% annual target at risk and raising questions about whether Beijing will unleash stimulus.