US assumes control of the Strait of Hormuz after Iran strikes. Traffic returns to normal by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

US-Iran tensions escalate as Trump ends agreement and military actions increase. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 22.5% YES.

Iran asserts control over the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global shipping routes. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 18.5% YES.

US Central Command claims the Strait of Hormuz is open amid the Iran War. Traffic returns to normal by July at 0.1% YES.

US conducts military strikes against Iran. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

Iran reaffirms control over the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Normal traffic by August 31 at 17.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil supply. Traffic returning to normal by August 31 at 16.5% YES.

US-Iran tensions escalate as Trump insists the Strait of Hormuz is open. Fewer than 150 ships transiting the strait between July 6-12 at 84.2% YES.

US, Iran exchange strikes over control of Strait of Hormuz. Prediction market shows low odds of normalization by July 31.

Iran vows to prevent threats in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 17.5% YES.

Trump plans to take control of the Strait of Hormuz amid tensions with Iran. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Trump vows U.S. control of the Strait of Hormuz amid tensions with Iran. Next U.S.-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.5% YES.

US and Iran exchange strikes over the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

It’s been 135 days since the start of the Iran War, with Tehran and Washington still vying for control of the Strait of Hormuz. After a weekend of attacks on

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said the only way to restore regular shipping traffic through the strait was to end US military interventions in the waterway.

Donald Trump suggests the US could take over the Strait of Hormuz and demand payment for its security amid escalating tensions with Iran. Read more.

US assumes control of the Strait of Hormuz after Iran strikes. Traffic returns to normal by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Trump announces U.S. will seek compensation for guarding the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

President Donald Trump said the US may take control of operations in the Strait of Hormuz and seek compensation from allies, while Iran warned it would not tolerate US…

President Donald Trump said the United States would be "taking over the strait" after days of the U.S. and Iran trading attacks amid a cease-fire.

President Trump said the United States will seek control of the Strait of Hormuz and operate the waterway as tension between the U.S. and Iran grows.