China's GDP growth is projected to slow to 4.5% in Q2 2026, with a 79% chance it will be between 4.0% and 5.0% for the year.

Gross domestic product is forecast to have grown 4.5 percent year-on-year in April-June

China's Premier calls for economic adjustments amid growth challenges. GDP growth below 1.0% in 2026 at 0.1% YES, between 5.0% and 6.0% at 16.1% YES.

China's 2026 growth may hit the low end of its target, with growth between 5.0% and 6.0% at 17% YES.