Iranian state media confirms Ayatollah Khamenei is alive, refuting death rumors. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.2% YES.

Iran's leadership stability is questioned after Khamenei's funeral. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.2% YES.

Ayatollah Khamenei was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike, leading to increased uncertainty in Iran. Regime fall by end of 2026 at 6.5% YES.