Iranian hardliners demand revenge after Khamenei's reported killing. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.8% YES.

Iran vows resilience after Khamenei's assassination. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.6% YES.

Khamenei's assassination leads to mourning and uncertainty in Iran. Regime fall by end of 2026 at 8.5% YES, leadership change by December at 15.5% YES.