Iran shifts to an aggressive doctrine after Khamenei's death. Leadership change by December 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran prepares for Khamenei's funeral amid unconfirmed death reports. Leadership change by December 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran vows resilience after Khamenei's assassination. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.6% YES.

Khamenei's assassination leads to mourning and uncertainty in Iran. Regime fall by end of 2026 at 8.5% YES, leadership change by December at 15.5% YES.

Gen. Ahmad Vahidi reemerges amid tensions ahead of Khamenei's funeral. Leadership change in Iran by December 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran holds a state funeral for Ayatollah Khamenei amid uncertainty. Leadership change by December 31 at 14.5% YES.

Ayatollah Khamenei was killed in a US-Israeli airstrike, leading to increased uncertainty in Iran. Regime fall by end of 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Iran mourns Khamenei with calls for vengeance amid war tensions. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.2% YES.

Iran shifts to an aggressive doctrine after Khamenei's death. Leadership change by December 31 at 15.5% YES.

Mojtaba Khamenei assumes leadership in Iran amid rising tensions. He remains head of state by end of 2026 at 83% YES.

Iran mobilizes for retribution after Khamenei's assassination. Leadership change by December 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran vows retribution for Khamenei's assassination. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.4% YES.

Iran mourns Ayatollah Khamenei after his death in airstrikes. Leadership change by December 31 at 16.5% YES.

Iran vows dual revenge for Khamenei's assassination amid war escalation. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz and strikes US bases amid rising tensions. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.5% YES.

Khamenei assassinated in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 8.5% YES, leadership change by December 31 at 17.5% YES.