Russian attacks on Kyiv escalate, reducing ceasefire prospects. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 41.5% YES.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian infrastructure. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Russia strikes Kyiv with drones and missiles after Zelensky's warning. NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026 at 18% YES.