Russia launched a significant offensive against Kyiv, deploying drones and ballistic missiles just hours after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned of an impending attack. The assault, involving over 600 drones and 90 missiles, marks a notable escalation in the ongoing conflict, which has persisted for over four years. This latest development appears consistent with ongoing tensions and suggests an intensified military strategy by Russia, aimed at debilitating Ukrainian defenses and infrastructure. The attack followed allegations of Ukrainian strikes on Russian civilian targets, including a dormitory, which Russia claims led to multiple casualties.
Key Takeaways
The strike on Kyiv appears consistent with an escalation in the conflict, as suggested by the recent increase in missile and drone activity.
Market pricing suggests an increased likelihood of a NATO-Russia military clash, with the probability of such an event currently priced at 18% YES.
The use of hypersonic Oreshnik missiles and the scale of the drone barrage indicate a potential strategic shift by Russia to exert pressure on Ukraine.











