Trump announces U.S. plan to seize Iran's Kharg Island. Control changes by June 30 priced at 16.1% YES.

US forces completed strikes on Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Trump said the forthcoming operations to take over Iran's oil infrastructure, and its oil and gas markets, would be similar to U.S. actions in Venezuela.

Iran fortifies Kharg Island amid US threats. Control change by June 30 at 8% YES.