Trump announces U.S. plan to seize Iran's Kharg Island. Control changes by June 30 priced at 16.1% YES.

Iran shot down a US Apache helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 18.5% YES.

US forces completed strikes on Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Iran fortifies Kharg Island amid US threats. Control change by June 30 at 8% YES.