$2,443,200 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to nor..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

US enforces a blockade in the Gulf of Oman, disabling a vessel. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 11% YES.

Iran reasserts control over the Hormuz Strait, impacting maritime traffic. Normal traffic by June 15 at 8.5% YES, by July 31 at 49.5% YES.