$12,782,341 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to no..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Iran warns military ships may become targets in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by June 15 at 7.5% YES.

US enforces a blockade in the Gulf of Oman, disabling a vessel. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 11% YES.