$12,782,341 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to no..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Iran warns military ships may become targets in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by June 15 at 7.5% YES.

US enforces a blockade in the Gulf of Oman, disabling a vessel. Transit of 20 ships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 11% YES.

Iran reasserts control over the Hormuz Strait, impacting maritime traffic. Normal traffic by June 15 at 8.5% YES, by July 31 at 49.5% YES.

Iran deploys an IRGC ship in the Strait of Hormuz and plans transit fees. Normal traffic by June 15 at 8.5% YES.

US missile strike disables ship in Gulf of Oman. Transit of 20 ships through Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 10% YES.

$26,041 has traded on "Will Japan send warships through the Strai..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

$12,782,341 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to no..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

$2,443,200 has traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to nor..." as of June 2, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...