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Strait of Hormuz oil exports unlikely to return to prewar levels amid tensions
Strait of Hormuz oil exports unlikely to return to prewar levels amid ongoing tensions. Normal traffic by June 15 at 6.5% YES.
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Timeline cronologica
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Oil drops to $89 as Iran peace deal may reopen Strait of Hormuz in 1 month
Oil drops to $89 as Iran's peace deal may reopen the Strait of Hormuz. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at 23% YES.
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IRGC Navy halts US oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
IRGC Navy halts US oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. Traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.
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US sanctions Iran's Strait of Hormuz authority amid rising tensions
US sanctions Iran's Strait of Hormuz authority amid rising tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 57.5% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz reopening may lead to rapid drop in oil prices
Strait of Hormuz reopening may lower oil prices. New all-time high for crude by September 30 at 22% YES.
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Strikes on US ships in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran war crisis
Strikes on US ships in the Strait of Hormuz raise tensions. Traffic normalizing by end of May at 0.5% YES.
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Iran missile attack on US ships escalates Strait of Hormuz tensions
Iran's missile attack on U.S. ships escalates tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.
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Oil prices fall as Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes rise
Oil prices fell as hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz rise. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES.
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Iran manages Strait of Hormuz traffic, impacting global oil trade
Iran controls Strait of Hormuz traffic, affecting oil trade. Normal traffic by June 15 at 9.5% YES; 20 ships transiting by May 31 at 13.5% YES.
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Oil prices could hit $160 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions
Oil prices could rise to $160 per barrel due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions. New all-time high by September 30 at 23.5% YES.
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Trump claims Iran agrees to nuclear disarmament, Hormuz reopening unconfirmed
Trump claims Iran agreed to nuclear disarmament and reopening of Hormuz, but market skepticism remains; Hormuz traffic normalization by June 15 at 14.5% YES.
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Iran, US near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz amid maritime tensions
Iran nears a deal with the US to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalizes by July 31 at 64% YES.
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CENTCOM warns of military operations near Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
CENTCOM warns of potential military operations near the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by end of June at 43.5% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz disruption risks global energy supply shock amid tensions
Strait of Hormuz traffic unlikely to normalize by June 15, with market confidence at 8.5% YES.
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Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, impacting global oil supply
Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply. Normal traffic by June 15 at 7.5% YES; new all-time high for crude by September 30 at 21%
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US enforces strict blockade on Iranian ports, impacting Strait of Hormuz traffic
US enforces a strict blockade on Iranian ports, impacting maritime traffic. Normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by July 31 at 56.5% YES.
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US maintains control over Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions, says Hegseth
US maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz amid tensions with Iran. Transit of 0-10 ships by May 31 at 93% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz oil exports unlikely to return to prewar levels amid tensions
Strait of Hormuz oil exports unlikely to return to prewar levels amid ongoing tensions. Normal traffic by June 15 at 6.5% YES.
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Iran advances control over Strait of Hormuz despite US warnings
Iran advances control over the Strait of Hormuz. Normal traffic by June 15 at 7.5% YES.
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Iran warns military ships in Strait of Hormuz may become targets
Iran warns military ships may become targets in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by June 15 at 7.5% YES.
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Iran reasserts control over Hormuz Strait amid US tensions
Iran reasserts control over the Hormuz Strait, impacting maritime traffic. Normal traffic by June 15 at 8.5% YES, by July 31 at 49.5% YES.